Leftist candidate Ollanta Humala has established itself as a leader in the Peruvian election campaign. In recent surveys, which could not be published in this country, by law, electoral law that determine drought search one week from election-Humala appears with 28% of the vote, followed by Keiko Fujimori with 21%. Keiko is a right-wing populist who is the daughter of former President Alberto Fujimori, Athaliah serving a sentence of 25 years for corruption and human rights violations.
In 2006, when faced Ollanta Humala in the second round and the current President Alan García, the Peruvian Mario Vargas Llosa Nobel likened the dispute to a choice between "cancer and AIDS."Yesterday, in describing a possible runoff between Humala and Keiko said "it would really be a disaster for Peru."
The big question that has plagued analysts and the voters is: Humala really turned into a more moderate candidate, or is just "a wolf in sheep's clothing" as accusing his rival Alejandro Toledo?
To become more palatable to the bulk of the electorate, which fears its aggressive posture and statist, Humala has released its 2011 version - Ollanta Peace and Love. For this, the PT had help Valdemir Garreta and Luis Favre, who work in the candidate's campaign, which was right up his "Letter to the Peruvian people", similar to the Letter to the Brazilian people of Lula.
I talked at length with Salomon Lerner, the head of the campaign Humala. He assures me that this is not just campaign rhetoric. "Ollanta matured, abandoned positions most radical he had in 2006, we learn from history." Humala wants away from Chavez, who has a brim in Peru in the final of the last election and buried the chances of the candidate in the second round of the Peruvian2006 elections. So I guarantee Salomon, Jewish community activist who knew Humala in 2005, when the candidate was accused of anti-Semitic positions. Ended up being very close and he began to lead his campaign.
There was, of course, an "extreme makeover" in the image of Humala. You look out the jungle fighter. Now, wears well-cut suits, or blue shirts. He smiles a lot more. Bears his Catholic faith. In the debate, made much effort to not appear aggressive, has not entered into any dispute with the other candidates tried to answer, and too little.
But among the controversial issues such as contract renegotiations with mining, hydroelectric concessions built by Brazilian companies in the Peruvian Amazon, to reform the constitution, he still needs to explain more. Much of what we propose, in fact, is being studied in Brazil and was made up in Chile in the case of increased mining royalties.Do not break contracts. Simply being negotiated with the companies when the contracts expire, and in Peru, most wins in 2012 and 2013. Or try to anticipate the adjustments through bargaining. All within the capitalist game.
Within the campaign, there is the view that one must follow the Brazilian model of growing the domestic market and not just rely on exporting raw materials. And within that, increase the counterparts of the multinationals who are exploiting resources in the country, either through an increase in royalties, or requiring added value.
The Peruvian people want better income distribution and feels wronged by the exploitation of natural resources of the country, whose wealth do not reach their hands. But they acknowledge that Peru is a success story. Macroeconomic stability built by Toledo and Alan Garcia up, Fujimori, were very important for the current growth. The challenge is to maintain stability, but aggregate social policies.
In the case of Humala, much remains to be explained so that we know if it's more like Lula or Chavez for more. And proposals for constitutional reform, with its echoes chavistas or until Fujimori, still scared.
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